December 15, 2009 
Earlier, more accurate river flow predictions possible
SEQUIM, Wash. - In a pilot plan that could help better manage the planet's strained natural resources, space-age technologies are helping a Washington state community monitor its water availability. N.A.S.A. satellites and sensors are providing the information needed to make more accurate river flow predictions on a daily basis.
"World leaders are struggling to protect natural resources for future generations," said Jeff Ward, a senior research scientist at the D.O.E.'s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, which is managed by Battelle. "These tools help us sustainably use natural resources while balancing environmental, cultural and economic concerns."
Ward manages a plan on behalf of Battelle that is helping to better predict the flow of the Dungeness River, near Sequim, Wash., with data collected by N.A.S.A. instruments. The plan started by creating a new model that predicts river flows in the river's surrounding valley. It then expanded to help other communities in Kansas, Maine, Oregon and Washington state better manage their water and land resources with similar technologies.
The plan - called the North Olympic Peninsula Solutions Network - is lead by the North Olympic Peninsula Resource Conservation & Development Council and supported by PNNL and others.
The project's results will be presented Dec. 16 at the 2009 fall meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco.
The plan will help regional natural resource managers assess the abundance - or lack thereof - of the Dungeness River. The river model was developed to show how N.A.S.A. technologies like satellites, sensors and computational models could be used to enhance short-term stream flow predictions. The river model relies on snowpack and temperature data collected from satellites, as well as real-time snowpack and water data collected by various agencies.
The new Dungeness River model's calculations can tell what kind of flow to expect - from a trickle to a deluge - on a daily and monthly basis. Before, resource managers primarily relied on either water levels physically measured at gauges or historical data to predict total expected water volume over 2 to 6 months. Neither method provided flow predictions as frequently as the new model.
Having more precise river flow predictions is especially important along the Dungeness River, where the towering Olympic Mountains create a drying rain shadow effect and steep slopes prevent above-ground water reservoirs. Sequim gains just 15 inches of rain annually. Water is so treasured that the agricultural city is home to a 114-year-old festival that celebrates a historic irrigation system.
"Improving the accuracy of stream flow predictions is important to a diverse group of water users, including irrigation-dependent farmers, planners making urban growth decisions and those concerned about salmon survival or water quality," said Clea Rome, North Olympic Peninsula RC&D coordinator. "Stream flow prediction tools can help us avoid a crisis by alerting us before droughts are in full effect, giving us enough notice to adjust water use."
But the practical use of N.A.S.A. technologies isn't limited just to Sequim or river water. The North Olympic Peninsula Solutions Network is helping 4 other resource, conservation and development councils tackle their unique problems.
Another resource - soil - has the Solomon Valley RC&D in north central Kansas concerned about agricultural tilling and erosion. Striking a balance between agriculture and forestry is critical for the Threshold to Maine RC&D in southwest Maine. The Wy'East RC&D is looking to better manage water supply and demand in north central Oregon. And in Okanogan, Wash., the possibility of water shortages worries the North Central Washington RC&D.
"Space technologies can help us get the best science to the ground, to the decision makers here in the Okanogan Basin," said Samantha Bartling, North Central Washington RC&D coordinator. "We expect it'll help us more precisely predict water availability for a long time to come."
The 4 councils are working with North Olympic Peninsula Solutions Network leaders to determine how N.A.S.A. technologies can best address their different challenges.
The plan is funded by a $1.6 million grant from NASA. More information can be found at the North Olympic Peninsula Solutions Network website, http://pcnasa.ctc.edu/.
Other plan partners include: the Department of Agriculture's Natural Resources Conservation Services; NRCS National Water and Climate Center; National Association of RC&D Councils; Idaho National Laboratory; Olympic National Park; Clallam County; The Dungeness River Management Team; The Elwha-Morse Management Team; Peninsula College and Pacific Northwest Regional Collaboratory.
REFERENCE: "NASA Water-Cycle Solutions Networks and Community of Practice Approaches to enhance Decision-making." Lucien Cox (NASA), Jeff Ward (PNNL) and Will Pozzi (WaterNet). 5:45-6 p.m., Dec. 16. Room 301, Moscone South, Moscone Convention Center, San Francisco.
The presentation abstract is accessible online by clicking "plan your itinerary" at http://www.agu.org/meetings/fm09/program/index.php and searching for plan "IN34A-08."
The North Olympic Peninsula RC&D is a non-profit organization that addresses natural resource conservation and economic development issues in both Jefferson and Clallam counties in Washington state. It includes representation from Co. and city governments, tribes, ports and other economic development and conservation entities. For in excess of forty years, the Resource Conservation & Development Plan (RC&D) has been administered through the U.S.D.A. (USDA) Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS). To date, the Secretary of Agriculture has designated 375 RC&D Areas across the nation.
Pacific Northwest National Lab is a D.O.E. Office of Science national Lab where interdisciplinary teams advance science and technology and deliver solutions to America's most intractable problems in energy, national security and the environment. PNNL employs 4,650 staff, has a $918 million yearly budget, and has been managed by Ohio-based Battelle since the lab's inception in 1965. Follow PNNL on Facebook, Linked In and Twitter.
